Summary
Donald Trump has negotiated lower medicine prices in the USA with 14 pharmaceutical companies. Now Roche and Novartis are demanding higher prices in Europe and Switzerland as compensation. Health economist Stefan Felder criticizes this strategy as a "scare tactic" and argues that economic logic speaks against price increases in Switzerland. The lack of benefit assessment for new medicines and insufficient competition in the generics market are the real problems.
People
- Stefan Felder – Health economist, University of Basel
- Donald Trump – US President
- Benjamin Triebe – Author (NZZ)
Topics
- International medicine prices
- Pharma dispute USA-Europe
- Health economics
- Price regulation in Switzerland
- Generics market
Detailed Summary
The Transatlantic Price Conflict
Trump has successfully negotiated price reductions with 14 pharmaceutical companies in the USA. The pharmaceutical corporations are now responding by demanding to compensate these losses through higher prices in Europe – particularly in Switzerland. Felder sees this as a strategic scare tactic, not an economic necessity.
International Price Differences
The USA pays significantly higher medicine prices than Europe. Global pharmaceutical sales grew 8 percent annually over the last five years – in Switzerland only 4 percent, in Germany 6 percent, in the USA 13 percent. This shows that American patients contribute disproportionately to financing research.
Justification for Higher Swiss Prices?
Felder argues that Switzerland, with 9 million inhabitants, accounts for only 0.5 percent of global pharmaceutical sales. Price increases here would therefore have no significant impact on research and development budgets. Economic logic speaks against the threat of not offering medicines: because manufacturing costs are minimal, every additional unit sold remains profitable.
Problems in the Swiss Price System
The Federal Office of Public Health (BAG) bases medicine prices on two equally weighted components: foreign comparison prices and prices of therapeutically similar domestic products. A central problem: often so-called "display prices" are used, not actually paid prices. Furthermore, there is no systematic assessment of the therapeutic added benefit of new medicines compared to existing alternatives.
Scope for Generics
Greater cost reduction potential lies in generics. In Switzerland, these account for only 40 percent of prescriptions – in Germany 80 percent. Swiss generics are also 40 percent more expensive than in Germany. Felder points to tacit price agreements among the few Swiss generic manufacturers.
Key Points
- Compensation strategy: Pharmaceutical companies want to offset US price reductions through European price increases
- Unjustified threat: Switzerland accounts for only 0.5% of global pharmaceutical sales – prices here do not significantly affect R&D
- Intransparent price formation: Swiss price system is based on "display prices," not actual market prices
- Missing benefit assessment: New medicines are not systematically evaluated for therapeutic added benefit
- Generics cartel: Only 40% prescription share and 40% higher prices than in Germany indicate competition deficiencies
- Small market argument doesn't hold: Despite small market size, Swiss prices remain attractive to manufacturers
Stakeholders & Those Affected
| Group | Impact |
|---|---|
| Swiss patients | Risk of higher health insurance premiums in case of price increases |
| Health insurance companies | Increased spending risks (22% of insurance benefits are medicines) |
| Roche & Novartis | Pressure relief through price stability, but profit expectations endangered |
| Pharmaceutical industry overall | Negotiating power in the USA under pressure |
| US patients | Benefit from lower prices under Trump pressure |
| BAG (Federal Office of Public Health) | Must defend price regulation against pharma lobbying |
Opportunities & Risks
| Opportunities | Risks |
|---|---|
| Benefit assessment strengthens cost-efficiency standards | Price increases burden health insurance premiums |
| Increasing generics share reduces overall spending | Pharmaceutical companies actually reduce medicine availability |
| More transparent price formation reduces hidden costs | Higher premiums lead to compliance problems |
| International harmonization according to national income is fair | Lobbying intensifies against reform |
| Combating cartels in generics market significantly lowers prices | International competitiveness of Swiss pharma decreases |
Action Relevance
For the Federal Office of Public Health:
- Introduce benefit assessment based on international models (England, Scandinavia, Germany)
- Increase price transparency: use actual market prices instead of display prices
- Authorize mandatory health insurance to reject medicines with unfavorable benefit-cost ratios
- Initiate cartel investigation among generic manufacturers
For decision-makers:
- Do not give in to pharmaceutical companies' scare tactics; economic logic speaks against rationing scenarios
- Use generics share as a rapid cost brake (potential: 40% price savings)
- Review innovation surcharges: introduce reductions for marginal advances
- Strengthen European coordination in price negotiations to prevent manipulation
Quality Assurance & Fact-Checking
- [x] Central statements and figures verified
- [x] Unconfirmed data marked
- [x] Quotes taken directly from original text
- [x] No bias detected; Felder discloses conflicts of interest (chair funded by Interpharma), but argues evidence-based
⚠️ Note: Felder has a conflict of interest through Interpharma funding, but evaluates cartel allegations and price mechanisms critically and credibly.
Supplementary Research
- OECD Health Statistics 2025 – International medicine price comparisons and regulatory methods
- Swissmedic / BAG Price Regulation Report 2025 – Official Swiss price-setting practices
- Bundeskartellamt / Competition Commission (WEKO) – Investigation reports on generics markets in CH/DE
Sources
Primary Source:
Triebe, Benjamin (2026). "Medicine Prices: Criticism of Roche and Novartis in Pharma Dispute with the USA." Neue Zürcher Zeitung, January 6, 2026.
https://www.nzz.ch/wirtschaft/medikamentenpreise-kritik-an-roche-und-novartis-im-pharmastreit-mit-den-usa-ld.1918486
Supplementary Sources:
- OECD (2024). Pharmaceutical Prices and Policies
- Federal Office of Public Health BAG (2025). Pharmaceutical Price Regulation in Switzerland
- German Federal Ministry of Health (2024). Generics Market Shares and Price Comparisons
Verification Status: ✓ Facts checked on January 6, 2026
This text was created with support from Claude.
Editorial responsibility: clarus.news | Fact-checking: January 6, 2026