Author: Xinhua / China Daily
Source: China Daily - Original Article
Publication Date: November 23, 2025
Summary Reading Time: 3 minutes
Executive Summary
Ukraine and the USA will hold consultations in Switzerland in the coming days regarding possible parameters of a future peace agreement with Russia. President Zelensky has established an official delegation led by Andriy Yermak by decree, indicating a new phase of diplomacy. The initiative raises critical questions about willingness to negotiate, possible compromises, and the role of the USA in a potential peace process.
Critical Key Questions
What concrete concessions is Ukraine prepared to make, and how much sovereignty could be sacrificed in the name of peace?
To what extent do the USA determine the negotiation parameters, and where is the independent European peace perspective?
Why is Russia not directly involved, and are these genuine peace negotiations or merely Western coordination?
Scenario Analysis: Future Perspectives
Short-term (1 year):
Possible ceasefire along current front lines, frozen conflict without formal recognition of territorial losses. Sanctions remain in place.
Medium-term (5 years):
Partial normalization of relations, gradual sanctions relief in exchange for security guarantees. Ukraine receives NATO-like protection status without full membership.
Long-term (10-20 years):
New European security architecture with neutral Ukraine as buffer zone. Risk of permanent division of the country following the Korean model.
Main Summary
a) Core Topic & Context
Ukraine and the USA are initiating bilateral consultations in Switzerland to coordinate possible peace parameters with Russia. This marks a significant diplomatic step after nearly three years of war and indicates growing international pressure to end the conflict.
b) Key Facts & Figures
- November 23, 2025: President Zelensky signs decree establishing negotiation delegation
- Delegation Head: Andriy Yermak (Chief of Presidential Office)
- Negotiation Location: Switzerland (neutral ground)
- Involved Parties: Ukraine, USA, "other partners" and potentially Russia
- Timeframe: Consultations "in the coming days" [⚠️ Exact date not verified]
c) Stakeholders & Affected Parties
- Directly involved: Ukraine, USA, Russia (potentially)
- Indirectly affected: EU, NATO, China, civilian population in conflict areas
- Notably absent: European mediators, UN representatives
d) Opportunities & Risks
Opportunities:
- End to humanitarian catastrophe and economic burdens
- Stabilization of global energy and food markets
- Reset of European-Russian relations
Risks:
- Legitimization of territorial annexations through negotiations
- Division within NATO over willingness to compromise
- Precedent for further territorial aggressions worldwide
e) Relevance for Action
Decision-makers should prepare for multiple scenarios: from frozen conflict to comprehensive peace agreement. Europe's role must be actively defined to avoid becoming a pawn in American-Russian interest politics. Communicative preparation of the public for possible compromises is essential.
Quality Assurance & Fact-Checking
⚠️ Critical Notes:
- The report originates from Xinhua/China Daily - Chinese state media with its own geopolitical agenda
- No independent confirmation by Western sources at time of analysis
- Details about negotiation content are completely missing
Source References
Primary Source:
Ukraine, US to hold consultations on peace plan in Switzerland – China Daily
Verification Status: ⚠️ Single-source, independent verification pending
📁 File Information
Version: 1.0
Analysis Created: November 23, 2025
License: CC-BY 4.0